I was talking with David, who’s staying with me for a few days until he gets a more permanent situation together, and it reminded me of something that I haven’t had the chance yet to talk about on my blog.
I have no idea what’s going to happen after mid-terms.
Okay, two scenarios. In the first, Democrats actually manage to hold onto control of the House and… do what exactly? They’re definitely losing Senators, so unless they get rid of the filibuster (which they unambiguously should, it sucks), their legislative agenda is going to look a lot like the climate bill.
In the second, Republicans gain control of the House and… do what exactly? The Republicans have been tearing themselves apart in the crazy Olympics, which is good when all you need to do is obstruct stuff and wreck the economy for political gain. But as a governing agenda? I guess they’ll just continue to mess with Obama (if you thought it was bad in ’95…) until they get a really likely President, but then what? They’re really just running on elitism and xenophobia at this point (at least at a national level, I’ll concede that lower-level Republicans probably have more variation). I don’t think they’d have anything remotely as ‘productive’ a couple terms in the executive as Bush, and that’s saying something.
It’s been a number of months since we’ve seen anything other than financial reform pass. Since then it’s really just been craziness and uh… more craziness. And the gross distortion of history. And more craziness.
I guess my point is, when is the craziness going to be replaced by us being back on track to do anything? I mean, I hated what they ended up calling health care and financial reform, but they did ‘em. Climate change? I dunno.
This isn’t even to say that I think it’s all going to be bad, it’s just that both parties are in such disarray that I find the next couple years completely incomprehensible and unpredictable. I have my own theories and hopes (more later), but I gotta say, the trajectory of the last couple years took me seriously by surprise, and I continue to struggle to have any faith in my predictive powers. I guess I’ll just take Krugman and McKibben’s word for it, they’ve been pretty prescient.
What do you think?